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The Short-Run Macroeconomic Impact of Foreign Aid to Small States: An Agnostic Timeseries Analysis

This study econometrically evaluates the short-run impact of aid in small developing countries (SDCs) by applying a VAR model to study aid's impact on 'absorption' (increasing import demand) and 'spending' (increased domestic demand) across countries. Whilst our approach allows parameters to vary across countries, the focus is on average country effects and differential effects within certain subgroups of countries. In particular, we find substantial differences between 'aid-dependent' SDCs and other SDCs which are more dependent on mineral resources and financial services. In the latter group, aid seems to be neither absorbed nor spent in any systematic fashion. But in the aid-dependent SDCs, aid receipts seem to be used more in the textbook 'absorb and spend' fashion.
Publisher:
UNU-WIDER
Series:
WIDER Research Paper
Volume:
2007/38
Title:
The Short-Run Macroeconomic Impact of Foreign Aid to Small States: An Agnostic Timeseries Analysis
Authors:
Henrik Hansen and Derek Headey
Publication date:
June 2007
ISSN Web:
1810-2611
ISBN Web:
9291909815
ISBN 13 Web:
9789291909810
Copyright holder:
© UNU-WIDER
Copyright year:
2007
Keywords:
foreign aid, small developing countries, macroeconomic adjustment, absorption, spending, VAR models, panel data
JEL:
O11, O23, C53
Project:
Fragility and Development
Sponsor:
UNU-WIDER gratefully acknowledges the financial contributions to the project by The Australian Agency for International Development (AusAID), the Finnish Ministry for Foreign Affairs, and the UK Department for International Development-DFID.
Format:
online