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China and the Future of the Developing World: The Coming Global-Asian Era and its Consequences

The rise of China as an economic and political ‘driver’ of the global economy is likely to be one of the defining moments of world history. Its dynamism and international expansion are on the verge of creating a ‘critical disruption’ in the global order that has held sway for over 60 years. As such, China is beginning to reshape the world, presaging a new phase of globalization: a ‘global-Asian era’. This new era is likely to be distinct from any of the earlier phases of globalization and China’s global footprint, in terms of its business, economic and political actions and their geopolitical implications, is likely to be markedly different from what has gone before. This paper offers a framework by which we can begin to understand the coming global-Asian era (GAE) and some of its consequences, particularly as the latter are surfacing in the developing world. Having discussed the nature and dynamics of the GAE, the paper turns to sketch a series of vectors (trade, aid and energy security) along which the GAE is beginning to impact on developing countries. The paper argues that, at least for these vectors, the Chinese-driven GAE is providing opportunities as well as dangers for national development projects. It concludes by briefly speculating on the viability of the GAE.
Publisher:
UNU-WIDER
Series:
WIDER Research Paper
Volume:
2008/58
Title:
China and the Future of the Developing World: The Coming Global-Asian Era and its Consequences
Authors:
Jeffrey Henderson
Publication date:
May 2008
ISSN Web:
1810-2611
ISBN 13 Web:
9789292301064
Copyright holder:
© UNU-WIDER
Copyright year:
2008
Keywords:
China, globalization, developing world, trade, oil, aid, geopolitics
JEL:
F01, F14, F59
Project:
Southern Engines of Global Growth
Sponsor:
The governments of Denmark (Royal Ministry of Foreign Affairs), Finland (Ministry for Foreign Affairs), Norway (Royal Ministry of Foreign Affairs), Sweden (Swedish International Development Cooperation Agency—Sida) and the United Kingdom (Department for International Development).
Format:
online