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Working Paper
An exploration of the association between fuel subsidies and fuel riotsBetween 2005 and 2018, 41 countries had at least one riot directly associated with popular demand for fuel. We make use of a new international dataset on fuel riots to explore the effects of fuel prices and price regimes on fuel riots...
Fuel subsidies Riots protestJournal Article
Infrastructure improvements and maize market integration: Bridging the Zambezi in MozambiqueHistorically, transport infrastructure connecting the most agriculturally productive areas of Mozambique and the richer southern region has been poor...
Infrastructure Agricultural market performance PricesJournal Article
Migrating out of mega-cities: Evidence from BrazilTraditional economic models predict rural to urban migration during the structural transformation of an economy. In middle-income countries, it is less clear which direction of migration to expect...
Brazil Internal migration PricesResearch Brief
Unlocking a regional plastics value chain between Mozambique and South Africa: Natural gas as a keyPlastics are universal and integrated into different sectors of the economy...
Feedstocks Polymers PlasticWorking Paper
Pandemics and their impact on oil and metal pricesWe examine the effect of pandemics on selected commodity prices—in particular, those of zinc, copper, lead, and oil...
Pandemic Commodities PricesWorking Paper
The impact on the South African economy of alternative regulatory arrangements in the petroleum sectorThis paper adds quantitative analysis to the study by Crompton et al. (2020) , in which various alternative regulatory arrangements regarding the petrol price in South Africa were explored...
Computable general equilibrium Economic impact PricesWorking Paper
Future-proofing the plastics value chain in Southern AfricaPlastics are ubiquitous across the region and play an important role in multiple industries. Most plastic products are based on a value chain that is grounded in petroleum refining, posing an environmental challenge...
Feedstocks Polymers PlasticWorking Paper
Petrol price regulation in South Africa: Is it meeting its intended objectives?The South African liquid fuels industry is a significant part of the economy. Historically, government policy focused on import substitution industrialization to support industry margins...
Prices South Africa DeregulationBook Chapter
The construction sector in ZambiaFrom the book: Mining for Change
Industrialization Local content Economic linkagesBook Chapter
The construction sector in GhanaFrom the book: Mining for Change
Construction sector Price dynamics Expenditure shocksWorking Paper
Migrants leaving mega-cities: Where they move and why prices matterTraditional economic models predict rural to urban migration during the structural transformation of an economy. In middle-income countries, it is less clear which direction of migration to expect...
Brazil Internal migration PricesJournal Article
Commodity Prices and Intra-Household Labor AllocationVolatility in commodity markets poses a distinct risk to farmers in developing countries who rely on cash crop agriculture...
Households Income Labour supplyWorking Paper
The role of the construction sector in influencing natural resource use, structural change, and industrial development in ZambiaThe construction sector plays a critical role in delivering quality infrastructure, which in turn influences the use of natural resource revenues towards achieving structural change and industrial development...
Construction sector Infrastructure PricesWorking Paper
The role of the construction sector in GhanaThe research explores the structure and performance of Ghana’s construction subsector, in light of the country’s 2007 oil discovery...
Construction sector Price dynamics Expenditure shocksWorking Paper
The impact of infrastructure shocks on agricultural markets: Evidence from the Zambezi river in MozambiquePrior to 2009, there was no direct road connection between the southern regions of Mozambique—where the capital city is located—and the more agriculturally-productive central and northern regions...
Infrastructure Agricultural market performance Prices