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Working Paper
Simulation of options to replace the special COVID-19 Social Relief of Distress grant and close the poverty gap at the food poverty line

We use a fiscal incidence model based on the South African 2014/15 Living Conditions Survey to simulate the poverty reduction impacts of a selection of medium-to-long-term social grant options with the goal of replacing the existing special COVID-19 ...

Fiscal incidence Social protection Social spending
Working Paper
Towards greater poverty reduction in Zambia: Simulating potential Cash Plus reforms using MicroZAMOD

A large share of the population in Zambia is living below the national poverty line...

Poverty Zambia Social protection
Policy Brief
Limited impact of the tax-benefit system in Tanzania during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 COVID-19 Income distribution Poverty
Policy Brief
Distributional effects of the COVID-19 pandemic in Uganda COVID-19 Income distribution Poverty
Policy Brief
Distributional effects of the COVID-19 pandemic in Ghana COVID-19 Income distribution Poverty
Policy Brief
The role of tax-benefit policies during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 in Mozambique COVID-19 Income distribution Poverty
Working together to better understand how COVID-19 affects poverty and inequality

In summer 2020 the SOUTHMOD team set out, with partners, to analyse the impact of government policies on protecting households from getting poorer and avoiding societies from becoming more unequal...

COVID-19 Income distribution Poverty
Policy Brief
Distributional effects of the COVID-19 pandemic in Zambia COVID-19 Income distribution Poverty
Journal Article
The political economy of the resource curse: A development perspective

This article reviews the recent literature on the developmental effects of resource abundance, assessing likely effects and channels with respect to key development outcomes...

Resource abundance Inequality Institutions
Working Paper
The mitigating role of tax and benefit rescue packages for poverty and inequality in Africa amid the COVID-19 pandemic

This paper analyses the distributional effects of the COVID-19 pandemic and related tax-benefit measures in 2020 in a cross-country comparative perspective for five African countries: Ghana, Mozambique, Tanzania, Uganda, and Zambia...

COVID-19 Income distribution Poverty
Technical Note
Full-year adjustment for modelling COVID-19 policies in SOUTHMOD tax-benefit microsimulation models

This technical note presents a modelling approach used in Lastunen et al. (2021) where tax and benefit policies are scaled to reflect their actual duration during a single calendar year...

COVID-19 Tax-benefit microsimulation Poverty
Wasted talent – How COVID-19’s effect on the poor could make all of society poorer

The opening keynote of the recent WIDER Development Conference, COVID-19 and development – effects and new realities for the Global South , was given by Oriana Bandiera , Sir Anthony Atkinson Professor of Economics at the London School of Econo...

COVID-19 Poverty Human capital
Working Paper
The recentered influence function and unidimensional poverty measurement

I discuss the applicability of the recentered influence function (RIF) to the analysis of poverty differentials between distributions (regression-based decomposition into composition and income structure effects)...

Poverty Recentered influence function Decomposition
Working Paper
Social ties, clientelism, and the poor’s expectations of future service provision: Receiving more, expecting less?

Are candidates who hand out clientelistic goods at election time less likely to provide services once they take office?...

vote-buying Clientelism Social cohesion
Working Paper
The socioeconomic impact of coal mining in Mozambique

This study assesses the impact of four coal mines in Mozambique on the socioeconomic outcomes of the local population. We combine four waves of household surveys with coal mine locations data and employ a difference-in-difference model...

Mining Difference-in-differences Poverty
Working Paper
The impact of COVID-19 on consumption poverty in Mozambique

This study assesses the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the state of emergency implemented by the Government of Mozambique on household consumption poverty...

COVID-19 Poverty Inequality
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