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      Publications (123)

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      Photo by Arnaud Jaegers on Unsplash
      Social ties amongst lower-income citizens shape support for vote-buying candidates
      Prisca Jöst, Ellen Lust - LSE Blogs , 2023 - London, UK
      Across Kenya, Malawi, and Zambia, political candidates often attempt to buy the votes of the most socio-economically deprived communities. But new research from Prisca Jöst and Ellen Lust argues that social cohesion in these communities is instrumental in determining the levels of support for...
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      Report pdf
      SOUTHMOD country report Zambia - MicroZAMOD v2.15
      Mbewe Kalikeka, Miselo Bwalya, Sylvia Mwamba, Christopher Bowa, Katrin Gasior, David McLennan - UNU-WIDER , 2023 - Helsinki, Finland
      This report documents MicroZAMOD, the SOUTHMOD model developed for Zambia. This work was carried out by Zambia Institute for Policy Analysis & Research (ZIPAR) in collaboration with the project partners. The results presented in this report are derived using MicroZAMOD version 2.15 running on...
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      New estimates on the share of tax evasion in Zambia
      UNU -WIDER - UNU-WIDER , 2023 - Helsinki, Finland
      Zambia is putting in place fiscal measures to improve the efficient collection of domestic revenue to finance social and public infrastructure. This analysis shows how much more revenue can be accumulated if tax evasion was at the bare minimum. Tax gap describes the share of the potential tax...
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      Did withholding value-added tax improve revenue collection in Zambia?
      UNU -WIDER - UNU-WIDER , 2023 - Helsinki, Finland
      Along with several other African countries, Zambia has introduced a withholding system for value-added tax (VAT) to improve revenue collection and compliance. Even though VAT withholding policies are applied in several countries in Africa and similar industry-specific policies in Europe, empirical...
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      Direct support to small scale farmers reduces poverty
      – What Zambia is doing right
      Jukka Pirttilä, Mari Kangasniemi - The Conversation Africa , 2023 - Johannesburg, South Africa
      Over half of Zambia’s population lived below the national poverty line in 2015. In rural areas, where 89% of households are engaged in agriculture, the poverty rate was even higher, at 77% of the population. The government runs several programmes of financial support for farmers. Some provide...
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      Working Paper pdf
      Estimating tax gaps in Zambia
      – A bottom-up approach based on audit assessments
      Kwabena Adu-Ababio, Aliisa Koivisto, Eliya Lungu, Evaristo Mwale, Jonathan Msoni, Kangwa Musole - UNU-WIDER , 2023 - Helsinki, Finland
      Assessing tax gaps—the difference between the potential and actual taxes raised—plays a vital role in achieving positive domestic revenue objectives through improved and reformed taxation. This is particularly pertinent for growth outcomes in developing countries. This study uses a bottom-up...
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      Working Paper pdf
      Assessing the impact of an intervention to withhold value-added tax in Zambia
      Kwabena Adu-Ababio, Aliisa Koivisto, Andreya Kumwenda, Gregory Chileshe, John Mulenga, Mutemwa Mebelo, Ian Mufana, Yenda Shamabobo - UNU-WIDER , 2023 - Helsinki, Finland
      Improving tax collection is essential if developing economies are to avoid over-reliance on external donor funds and loans. Revenue authorities in the Global South have recently adopted new policy tools to improve domestic revenue mobilization through taxes. One such new policy is a withholding...
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      Working Paper pdf
      The effectiveness of social protection in five African countries through normal times and times of crisis
      Katrin Gasior, Iva V. Tasseva, Gemma Wright - UNU-WIDER , 2022 - Helsinki, Finland
      We study the effectiveness of social protection benefits in reducing income and consumption poverty in five sub-Saharan African countries—Ghana, Mozambique, Tanzania, Uganda, and Zambia—in normal times and times of widespread economic crisis. Using tax–benefit microsimulation models with...
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      Working Paper pdf
      Distributional impacts of agricultural policies in Zambia
      – A microsimulation approach
      Katrin Gasior, Silvia Navarro, Jukka Pirttilä, Mari Kangasniemi - UNU-WIDER , 2022 - Helsinki, Finland
      This paper examines the distributional impacts of agricultural policies versus those of cash transfers using a tax–benefit microsimulation model for Zambia for the policy year 2020. The analysis also considers the behavioural impacts of input subsidies and social cash transfers. The results indicate...
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      Sales recovered faster from the pandemic than employment
      – Evidence from tax administrative and survey data in Zambia
      Aliisa Koivisto, Christopher Hoy, Laban Simbeye, Muhammad Malik, Mashekwa Maboshe - World Bank , 2022 - Washington, USA
      Like most other countries, the government of Zambia introduced restrictions to control COVID-19, which considerably curtailed normal economic activity. A new WIDER and World Bank working paper, a multi-institutional collaboration of UNU-WIDER, the World Bank, the Zambia Revenue Authority and the...
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      Working Paper pdf
      How have formal firms recovered from the pandemic?
      – Insights from survey and tax administrative data in Zambia
      Christopher Hoy, Laban Simbeye, Muhammad Abdullah Ali Malik, Aliisa Koivisto, Mashekwa Maboshe - UNU-WIDER , 2022 - Helsinki, Finland
      This paper examines how formal firms have been impacted by and recovered from the pandemic by drawing on two distinct but complementary data sources. This is the first attempt to use both survey and tax administrative data to measure the initial decline and subsequent recovery of firm sales and...
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      Boosting mineral revenues in Zambia
      – Policy options for a sustainable fiscal regime
      Andrew Mwaba, Steve Kayizzi-Mugerwa - UNU-WIDER , 2022 - Helsinki, Finland
      This brief provides concrete proposals on how Zambia's government could create a robust fiscal regime to achieve a steady flow of mineral revenue and encourage increased local participation in mining — while ensuring environmental sustainability. Zambia has had many mineral tax regimes and mining...
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      Report pdf
      SOUTHMOD country report Zambia - MicroZAMOD v2.12
      Mbewe Kalikeka, Miselo Bwalya, Katrin Gasior, David McLennan, Maria Jouste - UNU-WIDER , 2022 - Helsinki, Finland
      View the latest MicroZAMOD country report here. This report documents MicroZAMOD, the SOUTHMOD model developed for Zambia. This work was carried out by Zambia Institute for Policy Analysis & Research (ZIPAR) in collaboration with the project partners. The results presented in this report are derived...
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      Technical Note pdf
      Feasibility study: simulating the impacts of farm subsidies on poverty and inequality in African countries
      Mari Kangasniemi, Jukka Pirttilä - UNU-WIDER , 2022 - Helsinki, Finland
      Agricultural subsidies may have significant productive and distributional consequences, and policy-makers need to be able to assess these impacts as a part of the overall tax and benefit policy. Microsimulation models offer a tool for such analysis also in developing countries, but their coverage...
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      Corona pandemic revealed gaps in African social security systems
      Matti Remes - UNU-WIDER , 2022 - Helsinki, Finland
      Millions of Africans lost their jobs as a result of the coronavirus pandemic, but state social security systems were of little help to people who lost their income. This is the conclusion of a study conducted by the United Nations University World Institute for Development Economics Research, UNU...
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      Blog
      An African in Africa
      – New perspectives on travelling for research
      Kwabena Adu-Ababio - UNU-WIDER , 2021 - Helsinki, Finland
      Working for an international organisation presents a host of challenges, given the vast nature of tasks that one must surmount in a fast paced and changing environment. It might be a roller coaster, but also satisfying by providing many worthwhile experiences. The latter was my sensation during my...
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