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      Publications (108)

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      How to support the emergence of effective tax systems
      Antonio Savoia, Kunal Sen - UNU-WIDER , 2023 - Helsinki, Finland
      Cross-national or longitudinal evidence on which factors contribute to the development of effective tax systems in the Global South is lacking Global South countries still collect less than half the tax revenue of higher-income countries, when measured as a share of GDP A broad range of historical...
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      Climbing the job ladder
      – A clearer picture of informal work
      Gary S. Fields, T.H. Gindling, Kunal Sen, Michael Danquah, Simone Schotte - UNU-WIDER , 2023 - Helsinki, Finland
      Most workers in developing countries work in the informal labour market Lower-tier informal work leads to a dead end in the countries in this study, with little opportunity to move up the job ladder While those in upper-tier informal work are the most likely to transition to formal labour market...
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      Development effectiveness in fragile contexts
      – Evidence from an international research conference
      Rachel M. Gisselquist, Patricia Justino, Andrea Vaccaro - UNU-WIDER , 2022 - Helsinki, Finland
      This policy brief draws on the studies presented at the International Research Conference on the Effectiveness of Development Cooperation on 17–18 November 2022, in Brussels, Belgium, jointly organized by UNU-WIDER and the European Commission (DG INTPA) under its capacity as the leading entity of...
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      Building evidence around the effectiveness principles
      – Findings from an international research conference
      Rachel M. Gisselquist, Patricia Justino, Andrea Vaccaro - UNU-WIDER , 2022 - Helsinki, Finland
      This policy brief draws on the studies presented at the International Research Conference on the Effectiveness of Development Cooperation on 17–18 November 2022, in Brussels, Belgium and jointly organized by UNU-WIDER and the European Commission (DG INTPA) under its capacity as the leading entity of...
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      Inequality is not an inevitable consequence of economic development
      – Overcoming the developer’s dilemma
      Armida Salsiah Alisjahbana, Kunal Sen, Andy Sumner, Arief Anshory Yusuf - UNU-WIDER , 2022
      There are multiple pathways of structural transformation and different inequality dynamics of each. Rising inequality is not inevitable — policies make a difference. Broad-based economic development requires public policies to address any upward pressure on inequality. A different policy agenda for...
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      Boosting mineral revenues in Zambia
      – Policy options for a sustainable fiscal regime
      Andrew Mwaba, Steve Kayizzi-Mugerwa - UNU-WIDER , 2022 - Helsinki, Finland
      This brief provides concrete proposals on how Zambia's government could create a robust fiscal regime to achieve a steady flow of mineral revenue and encourage increased local participation in mining — while ensuring environmental sustainability. Zambia has had many mineral tax regimes and mining...
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      Six sets of policy actions to promote social mobility
      Vegard Iversen, Anirudh Krishna, Kunal Sen - UNU-WIDER , 2021 - Helsinki, Finland
      Promoting social mobility is an essential task of development, and a multi-faceted one. Precarious livelihoods are widespread. Containing downward mobility is an important precondition for sustaining upward mobility. Policies of human capital development assist but do not complete the task of...
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      O papel das políticas de impostos e benefícios durante a pandemia da COVID-19 em 2020 em Moçambique
      José Cardoso, Vanda Castelo, Finório Castigo, Michael Noble, Rodrigo Oliveira, Pia Rattenhuber, Gemma Wright - UNU-WIDER , 2021 - Helsinki, Finland
      Moçambique reportou o seu primeiro caso da COVID-19 em 22 de Março de 2020. As estimativas do PIB sugerem um forte efeito da pandemia, com uma redução de sete dos nove dos sectores de actividade analisados. No entanto, o sector agrícola – um dos mais importantes – registou um aumento de 9%, que pode...
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      New directions for presumptive tax in Uganda
      Ronald Waiswa, Jesse Lastunen, Gemma Wright, Michael Noble, Joseph Okello Ayo, Milly Isingoma Nalukwago, Tina Kaidu Barugahara, Susan Kavuma, Isaac Arinaitwe, Martin Mwesigye, Wilson Asiimwe, Pia Rattenhuber - UNU-WIDER , 2021 - Helsinki, Finland
      Presumptive tax, a final tax on business income, was introduced in Uganda in 1997. It has been reformed several times since its conception. The latest reform in July 2020 sought to make the presumptive regime more progressive, simpler and fairer to small firms. The revised rates have however raised...
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      Towards greater poverty reduction in Zambia
      – Simulating potential Cash Plus reforms
      Katrin Gasior, David McLennan, Mbewe Kalikeka, Miselo Bwalya, Maria Jouste - UNU-WIDER , 2021 - Helsinki, Finland
      A large share of the population in Zambia is living below the national poverty line, with most of them being extremely poor. In a bid to improve the social and economic situation, the Zambian government introduced the Social Cash Transfer (SCT) programme which provides cash payments to poor and...
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      Limited impact of the tax-benefit system in Tanzania during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020
      Elineema Kisanga, Vincent Leyaro, Michael Noble, Rodrigo Oliveira, Pia Rattenhuber, Gemma Wright - UNU-WIDER , 2021 - Helsinki, Finland
      Tanzania, similar to most sub-Saharan countries, reported its first COVID-19 cases in March 2020. While GDP estimates suggest that the economy was less hard hit than in other African countries, some sectors have nevertheless experienced negative growth. Even with contained GDP contractions in 2020...
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      Distributional effects of the COVID-19 pandemic in Uganda
      Jesse Lastunen, Gemma Wright, Michael Noble, Ronald Waiswa, Joseph Okello Ayo, Milly Isingoma Nalukwago - , 2021
      In 2020, the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic caused an economic crisis that disrupted the Ugandan labour market. How large were the associated income losses across different industries and population groups? To what extent did the general tax-benefit system mitigate the adverse effects of the...
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      Distributional effects of the COVID-19 pandemic in Ghana
      Kwabena Adu-Ababio, Robert Darko Osei, Jukka Pirttilä, Pia Rattenhuber - UNU-WIDER , 2021 - Helsinki, Finland
      The first cases of COVID-19 in sub-Saharan Africa were reported in March 2020, and the impact of the pandemic has since rippled through the world and Africa. In response to the crisis and similarly to many of its peers, Ghana has enacted a variety of containment measures to confront the pandemic...
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      The role of tax-benefit policies during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 in Mozambique
      José Cardoso, Vanda Castelo, Finório Castigo, Michael Noble, Rodrigo Oliveira, Pia Rattenhuber, Gemma Wright - UNU-WIDER , 2021 - Helsinki, Finland
      Mozambique reported its first case of COVID-19 on 22 March 2020. GDP estimates suggest a strong pandemic effect, with a reduction in seven of nine business sectors analysed. However, the agriculture sector, one of the most important, experienced a 9% increase, which may have cushioned the pandemic...
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      Distributional effects of the COVID-19 pandemic in Zambia
      Mbewe Kalikeka, Miselo Bwalya, Kwabena Adu-Ababio, Katrin Gasior, David McLennan, Pia Rattenhuber - UNU-WIDER , 2021 - Helsinki, Finland
      Zambia’s economic growth has been flattening over the past decade. In 2020 economic prospects further worsened, following the onset of the pandemic, rising debt, and the Eurobond default. In this unprecedented scenario, there is the need to examine impacts on welfare and the mitigation role taxes...
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      Regional integration and Tanzania’s export performance
      Vincent Leyaro, Anne Kamau, Roseline Misati - UNU-WIDER , 2021 - Helsinki, Finland
      Tanzania is, together with Kenya and Uganda, one of the founding members states of the East African Community (EAC), a regional intergovernmental organization which nowadays consists of six partner states in the region. Since the revival of the new EAC in 2000, EAC Customs Union (EAC-CU) in 2005...
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      The economic gains of reducing the employment gender gap in Morocco
      Olivier Bargain, Maria C. Lo Bue - UNU-WIDER , 2021 - Helsinki, Finland
      Middle East and North Africa (MENA) countries, including Morocco, currently record the lowest rates of female labour force participation (FLFP) in the world. These rates — between 20-30% in 2019 — appear substantially low in comparison to Western countries, but also compared to low- and middle...
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      Ampliando a protecção social em Moçambique
      – Simulando diferentes cenários para atualização e expansão do PSSB
      Márcia C. Chelengo, José Cardoso, Gito Mataba - UNU-WIDER , 2021 - Helsinki, Finland
      O Programa Subsídio Social Básico (PSSB) é um programa de transferência de renda mensal, não condicional, por tempo indeterminado, com o objectivo de reforçar o bem-estar da população pobre e vulnerável. São actualmente elegíveis ao PSSB pessoas em extrema pobreza e vulnerabilidade e agregados...
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      Better livelihoods through income diversification in Tanzania
      Oliver Morrissey, Milla Nyyssölä, Ralitza Dimova - UNU-WIDER , 2021 - Helsinki, Finland
      Diversifying income sources is an important livelihood strategy for households in low-income countries. Having several sources of income helps in increasing total income, and in spreading the risks. New findings on the benefits of income diversification from Tanzanian households can inform policy...
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      Firm performance, trade linkages, and the growth of SMEs in Tanzania
      Josaphat Kweka, Julian Boys, Amrita Saha - UNU-WIDER , 2021 - Helsinki, Finland
      The private sector and enterprises have a key role to play in the development of the Tanzanian economy. This Policy Brief provides insights and solutions that could offer business sectors the vital policy support that they need to develop and grow. Linkages with large firms provide a possibility for...
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      Fechando a lacuna da protecção social na velhice
      – Simulações dos efeitos de uma pensão para cobertura universal de velhice em Moçambique
      Imarciana Cunamizana, Marcos Muianga, Celso Zunguze, Finório Castigo - UNU-WIDER , 2021 - Helsinki, Finland
      Moçambique apresenta instrumentos legais que visam directa ou indirectamente reduzir a vulnerabilidade das pessoas idosas. Com efeito, há cerca de duas décadas, o país aprovou através da Resolução n.º 84/2002 de 12 de Novembro, a Política para a Pessoa Idosa e a estratégia da sua implementação...
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      Mining for change
      – How can natural resources support inclusive growth in Africa
      John Page, Finn Tarp - UNU-WIDER , 2020 - Helsinki, Finland
      For a growing number of countries in Africa the discovery of natural resources is a great opportunity, but one accompanied by considerable risks. There is an extensive literature linking natural resource dependence to poor economic performance. One cause is that resource-abundant economies tend to...
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      Migration governance in the Global South
      Rachel M. Gisselquist, Finn Tarp - UNU-WIDER , 2020 - Helsinki, Finland
      Building knowledge about migration governance and policy in the Global South is a priority for research and policy. Migration is a defining feature of our time and one closely linked with processes of economic and political development. Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) target 10.7 prioritizes...
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      Fiscal multipliers and debt dynamics using a DSGE approach
      Johannes Hermanus Kemp, Hylton Hollander - UNU-WIDER , 2020 - Helsinki, Finland
      Much of the research on the impact of fiscal policy shocks on macroeconomic outcomes (e.g., fiscal multipliers) uses reduced-form modelling approaches such as vector auto-regressions to obtain empirical results. In a recent study 1 , we used this approach to estimate fiscal multipliers for South...
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      Policy implications of empirically estimated fiscal multipliers for South Africa
      Johannes Hermanus Kemp, Hylton Hollander - UNU-WIDER , 2020 - Helsinki, FInland
      Despite the frequent use of fiscal policy for stabilization purposes, there remains significant uncertainty regarding the impact of fiscal policy decisions on macroeconomic outcomes. This impact is quantified by calculating fiscal multipliers. A fiscal multiplier measures the impact of government’s...
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      Designing inclusive public finance policies in developing countries
      – Five key issues and solutions
      Jukka Pirttilä, Finn Tarp - UNU-WIDER , 2020 - Helsinki, Finland
      Taxation, and public sector matters more generally, are high on the agenda for the international development community. This is clearly reflected in the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). SDG17 stipulates the need for improving domestic resource mobilization directly, and most of the other SDGs...
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      Eight lessons on small and medium-sized enterprises in Vietnam
      John Rand, Finn Tarp - UNU-WIDER , 2020 - Helsinki, Finland
      The structural changes of the economy have been a significant contributor to Vietnam’s impressive growth over the past 30 years. Labour has moved rapidly from agriculture into manufacturing, with important improvements in livelihoods as a result. The burgeoning private sector played a key role in...
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      The politics of social protection in Eastern and Southern Africa
      – Actors, institutions and dynamics
      Sam Hickey, Tom Lavers, Miguel Niño-Zarazúa, Jeremy Seekings - UNU-WIDER , 2019 - Helsinki, Finland
      Since the mid-1990s, there has been in Africa something of a ‘quiet revolution’ in poverty reduction strategies with the proliferation of social assistance programmes that entail cash transfers to the poor. The past two decades have also been characterized by a series of important political...
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      Unequal growth in Mozambique and the region
      Carlos Gradín, Finn Tarp - UNU-WIDER , 2019 - Helsinki, Finland
      There is an increasing interest in the analysis of economic inequalities in least developed countries. This is not only the result of a general social preference for equality, but also the consequence of a growing sense that highly unequal societies may distort the functioning of a country...
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      Transition to labour market by university students
      – Key findings from an extensive survey
      Sam Jones, Ricardo Santos, Gimelgo Xirinda - UNU-WIDER , 2019 - Helsinki, Finland
      This brief summarizes the findings and implications of a survey of the school-to-work transition by Mozambican university students. No research of this kind had previously been conducted. Over the course of a year and a half, university graduates were monitored in their transition to the labour...
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      Annual Lecture Brief - Informality: The Achilles Heel of Social Protection in Latin America
      – Making a case for universal social protection in Latin America
      Santiago Levy - UNU-WIDER , 2019 - Helsinki, Finland
      The 2019 WIDER Annual Lecture discusses the challenges of social protection in economies with large informal sectors, such as in Latin America. Making a critical distinction between social insurance and social assistance programmes — the former address risks which are common to all workers (illness...
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      Social protection, government revenue and microsimulation in developing countries
      Jukka Pirttilä - UNU-WIDER , 2019 - Helsinki, Finland
      Social protection has attracted increasing interest in developing countries in recent decades and policies have been initiated in all developing regions. When countries build up their social protection systems, they need reliable information and tools on how the systems should be designed. They also...
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