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Working Paper
Simulation of options to replace the special COVID-19 Social Relief of Distress grant and close the poverty gap at the food poverty lineWe use a fiscal incidence model based on the South African 2014/15 Living Conditions Survey to simulate the poverty reduction impacts of a selection of medium-to-long-term social grant options with the goal of replacing the existing special COVID-19 ...
Fiscal incidence Social protection Social spendingWorking Paper
Towards greater poverty reduction in Zambia: Simulating potential Cash Plus reforms using MicroZAMODA large share of the population in Zambia is living below the national poverty line...
Poverty Zambia Social protectionPolicy Brief
Policy Brief
Policy Brief
Policy Brief
Blog
Working together to better understand how COVID-19 affects poverty and inequalityIn summer 2020 the SOUTHMOD team set out, with partners, to analyse the impact of government policies on protecting households from getting poorer and avoiding societies from becoming more unequal...
COVID-19 Income distribution PovertyPolicy Brief
Journal Article
The political economy of the resource curse: A development perspectiveThis article reviews the recent literature on the developmental effects of resource abundance, assessing likely effects and channels with respect to key development outcomes...
Resource abundance Inequality InstitutionsWorking Paper
The mitigating role of tax and benefit rescue packages for poverty and inequality in Africa amid the COVID-19 pandemicThis paper analyses the distributional effects of the COVID-19 pandemic and related tax-benefit measures in 2020 in a cross-country comparative perspective for five African countries: Ghana, Mozambique, Tanzania, Uganda, and Zambia...
COVID-19 Income distribution PovertyTechnical Note
Full-year adjustment for modelling COVID-19 policies in SOUTHMOD tax-benefit microsimulation modelsThis technical note presents a modelling approach used in Lastunen et al. (2021) where tax and benefit policies are scaled to reflect their actual duration during a single calendar year...
COVID-19 Tax-benefit microsimulation PovertyBlog
Wasted talent – How COVID-19’s effect on the poor could make all of society poorer
The opening keynote of the recent WIDER Development Conference, COVID-19 and development – effects and new realities for the Global South , was given by Oriana Bandiera , Sir Anthony Atkinson Professor of Economics at the London School of Econo...
COVID-19 Poverty Human capitalWorking Paper
The recentered influence function and unidimensional poverty measurementI discuss the applicability of the recentered influence function (RIF) to the analysis of poverty differentials between distributions (regression-based decomposition into composition and income structure effects)...
Poverty Recentered influence function DecompositionWorking Paper
Social ties, clientelism, and the poor’s expectations of future service provision: Receiving more, expecting less?Are candidates who hand out clientelistic goods at election time less likely to provide services once they take office?...
vote-buying Clientelism Social cohesionWorking Paper
The socioeconomic impact of coal mining in MozambiqueThis study assesses the impact of four coal mines in Mozambique on the socioeconomic outcomes of the local population. We combine four waves of household surveys with coal mine locations data and employ a difference-in-difference model...
Mining Difference-in-differences PovertyWorking Paper
The impact of COVID-19 on consumption poverty in MozambiqueThis study assesses the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the state of emergency implemented by the Government of Mozambique on household consumption poverty...
COVID-19 Poverty Inequality