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Technical Note
Deriving shocks to household consumption expenditures from the associated income shocks resulting from COVID-19This note, which forms part of a series of technical notes that complement Lastunen et al. (2021) , reports the approach used to derive shocks to household expenditures from shocks at the individual-level labour incomes...
COVID-19 Income ShocksWorking Paper
Female education and marriage in Pakistan: The role of financial shocks and marital customsThis project aims to explore the effect of wealth shocks on education and marriage for young women in Pakistan. Financial shocks are used to estimate the probability of dropping out of education and into marriage...
Marriage customs Shocks early marriageWorking Paper
Informal freelancers in the time of COVID-19: Insights from a digital matching platform in MozambiqueDespite the severe negative economic shock associated with the COVID-19 pandemic, evidence from many contexts points to a surge in sales on online platforms, as well as shifts in the composition of demand...
COVID-19 Shocks MozambiqueWorking Paper
Forecasting recovery from COVID-19 using financial data: An application to Viet NamWe develop a new methodology to nowcast the effects of the COVID-19 crisis and forecast its evolution in small, export-oriented countries...
COVID-19 Pandemic ForecastingWorking Paper
Pandemics and their impact on oil and metal pricesWe examine the effect of pandemics on selected commodity prices—in particular, those of zinc, copper, lead, and oil...
Pandemic Commodities PricesWorking Paper
Effects of productivity growth on domestic savings across countries: Disentangling the roles of trend and cycleResource mobilization continues to be an important policy challenge for developing economies, raising questions as to what determines differences in saving behaviour across countries...
Saving Productivity GrowthBackground Note
Do more diversified suppliers rebound faster than concentrated suppliers in times of shocks?: Insights from KenyaIn this background note, we examine how different firms and sectors rebound or prevail in crises...
Export firms Sectors ShocksBlog
Is COVID-19 really an exogenous shock?"We cannot solve problems by using the same kind of thinking we used when we created them." – Albert Einstein Economists invariably divide shocks into two types: endogenous and exogenous...
COVID-19 Economics ShocksWorking Paper
What’s behind pro-poor growth?: The role of shocks and measurement errorStandard growth incidence curves describe how growth episodes impact on the overall income distribution...
Measurement error Shocks Pro-poor