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Simulation
Working Paper
Social distress and (some) relief: Estimating the impact of pandemic job loss on poverty in South Africa

Up-to-date, nationally representative household income/expenditure data are crucial to estimating poverty during the COVID-19 pandemic and to policy-making more broadly, but South Africa lacks such data...

COVID-19 Poverty Labour market
Working Paper
How far does the apple really fall from the tree?: Practical guidance on measuring intergenerational mobility from a simulation framework

Despite the importance attributed to intergenerational educational mobility in the process of development, there remains little consensus on how mobility should be measured...

Mobility Measurement error Sample truncation
Working Paper
Simulating the effect on households’ real consumption and poverty of the increase in prices that followed the 2015–16 economic crisis in Mozambique

Poverty declined substantially in Mozambique between 1996/97 and 2014/15. However, the recent economic crisis, characterized by a significant increase in domestic prices, may have dragged several households into poverty...

Price increase Economic crisis Poverty
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