Will COVID-19 lead to half a billion more people living in poverty in developing countries?
Andy Sumner, Chris Hoy, and Eduardo Ortiz-Juarez provide new estimates of the impact of the pandemic on global poverty.
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UNU-WIDER has partnered up with a team of international researchers from across four institutes on an exciting and very timely research initiative to collect real time data on the coronavirus and its social and economic consequences.
Journal Article: Tax-motivated transfer mispricing in South Africa - direct evidence using transaction data
This new Open Access article provides the first direct systematic evidence of profit shifting through transfer mispricing in a developing country.
UNU-WIDER's operations continue during coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic
Read more about how we are working through the coming month and what activities are paused or postponed
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19 UNU-WIDER articles, publications, projects, experts...
Working PaperAre routine jobs moving south?: Evidence from changes in the occupational structure of employment in the USA and Mexico
The decline of employment in middle-wage, routine task intensive jobs has been well documented for the USA. Increased offshoring towards lower-income countries such as Mexico has been proposed as a potential driver of this decline...Employment employment structure routine employment
Working PaperIs export-led growth a mirage?: The case of Kenya
The role of exports in promoting economic growth has been widely acknowledged. This paper analyses the link between exporting and growth performance in Kenya using time series data...Trade export-led growth Import
Working PaperEvaluating foreign direct investment in Mozambique’s natural gas industry: An economy-wide perspective
The recent discovery of large fields of natural gas in Mozambique has led to great international interest and expectations of future gains...Social Accounting Matrix Trade Computable general equilibrium
Working PaperAgricultural development, trade, and income distribution: A 2015 social accounting matrix multiplier decomposition approach for Mozambique
This paper considers the impact of agriculture and international trade development on income distribution and economic activity in Mozambique...Agriculture Income distribution multiplier effects
Working PaperExploring the potential for growth and trade in fruit and oilseed-to-edible oils value chains following political shifts in Zimbabwe
Zimbabwe’s persistent economic challenges since the early 1990s have been largely attributed to unpopular political decisions at the expense of building productive capacity in different sectors of the economy...Agriculture Edible oils Oilseeds
Book ChapterSoutheast Asia
From the book: Asian TransformationsAgricultural productivity Investments Foreign
Book ChapterAgro-processing and horticultural exports from Africa
From the book: Industries without SmokestacksAfrica Agro-processing Trade
Working PaperSix development paths in Southeast Asia: Three plus three
Six Southeast Asian countries (Cambodia, Lao People’s Democratic Republic, Malaysia, Myanmar, the Philippines, and Thailand) defied Gunnar Myrdal’s pessimistic prognosis in his 1968 volume, Asian Drama, regarding their prospects for devel...Agricultural productivity Investments, Foreign Industrial policy
Working PaperDiaspora externalities: A view from the South
Migration decisions affect those left-behind in ways that are partly taken into account by market forces (e.g., wage effects on labour markets) and for the most part these can be seen as pure externalities...Diaspora networks International migration Development
Working PaperNew data, new approaches and new evidence: A policy synthesis
The Republic of South Africa faces the imperative of escaping economic stagnation...South Africa Growth Productivity
Working PaperThe effects of Chinese import penetration on firm innovation: Evidence from the Vietnamese manufacturing sector
This paper evaluates the impact of Chinese import penetration on the innovation of Vietnamese manufacturing firms from 2011 to 2015, exploiting variations in import exposure by industry specialization and instrumenting for Chinese import penetration ...China Manufacturing Innovation
Working PaperAgro-processing and horticultural exports from Africa
Sub-Saharan African exports of horticultural and processed agricultural products are growing in line with the major shift towards these products in world markets...Africa Agro-processing Trade
Research BriefFood production competitiveness and regional growth in southern Africa: The animal-feed-to-poultry value chain
15-20% of local demand for poultry in South Africa is met by imports Evidence from Zambia suggests that capital investments in the value chain can increase local production Increased demand due to growing urban populations poses critical challenges f...Value chains Trade Poultry
Research uptakeLearning to Compete (L2C): Accelerating Industrial Development in Africa
Learning to compete (L2C) is collaborative research project between UNU-WIDER, the African Development Bank, and the Brookings Institution. The project aims to answer the question: why is there so little industry in Africa? Industry—including modern...Trade Competitiveness Industrial policy