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Working Paper
A Stochastic Simulation Approach to Estimating the Economic Impacts of Climate Change in BangladeshClimate change assessments often inadequately address uncertainty when estimating damages. Using a dynamic economy-wide model of Bangladesh, we estimate and decompose damages from historical climate variability and future anthropogenic climate change...
Working Paper
The Medium- and Long-term Effects of an Expansion of Education on Poverty in Côte d'IvoireI use a dynamic microsimulation model to analyse the distributional effects of an expansion of education in Côte d’Ivoire in the medium and long term. The simulations are performed in order to replicate several policies in force or subject to debate...
Working Paper
Assessing Poverty and Inequality at a Detailed Regional LevelDuring the past three years NATSEM has developed pathbreaking spatial microsimulation techniques, involving the creation of synthetic data about the socioeconomic characteristics of households at a detailed regional level. The data are potentially...
Working Paper
Who Pays Indirect Taxes in Russia?The interplay of a differentiated indirect tax structure and the variation in expenditure patterns across households, leads to a possibly unequal distribution of indirect tax liabilities across the population. This paper uses the ninth round of the...
Working Paper
A Contract Perspective on the International Finance FacilityThe present paper is a first attempt to develop a theoretical model using a short-term vis-à-vis long-term contract framework within which donor countries’ endorsement or rejection decision towards the recently proposed International Finance Facility...
Working Paper
Globalization and HealthThe last two decades of the twentieth century recorded a slowdown in health gains and widespread increases in health inequality across and within countries. The paper explores the causes of such trends on the basis of five main mortality models. To...
Working Paper
Agriculture and Trade Opportunities for TanzaniaGiven global heterogeneity in climate-induced agricultural variability, Tanzania has the potential to substantially increase its maize exports to other countries. If global maize production is lower than usual due to supply shocks in major exporting...
Working Paper
Power AheadEthiopia is powering ahead with an ambitious energy development strategy, highly reliant on abundant hydropower potential. A changing climate, including uncertain water supply, however, may pose a salient challenge to meeting expected targets...
Working Paper
A Dynamic General Equilibrium Analysis of Adaptation to Climate Change in EthiopiaThis study links a multi-sectoral regionalized dynamic computable general equilibrium model of Ethiopia with a system of country-specific hydrology, crop, road and hydropower engineering models to simulate the economic impacts of climate change...
Working Paper
How Does Vietnam's Accession to the World Trade Organization Change the Spatial Incidence of Poverty?Trade policies can promote aggregate efficiency, but the ensuing structural adjustments generally create both winners and losers. From an incomes perspective, trade liberalization can raise GDP per capita, but rates of emergence from poverty depend...
Journal Article
Agriculture and Trade Opportunities for TanzaniaPart of Journal Special Issue Climate Change and Economic Development
Journal Article
A Stochastic Simulation Approach to Estimating the Economic Impacts of Climate Change in BangladeshPart of Journal Special Issue Climate Change and Economic Development
Book
Reconstructing Keynesian Economics With Imperfect CompetitionThe main arguments of this book are almost certain to create controversy and lead to a fundamental reassessment of Keynesian economics. Building on his previous work on modern capitalism, Robin Marris has made theoretical advance which should have a...
Working Paper
What is the Aggregate Economic Rate of Return to Foreign Aid?Does foreign aid promote aggregate economic growth? In contrast to widespread perceptions, academic studies of this question have been rapidly converging towards a positive answer. We employ a simulation approach to (i) validate the coherence of...
Journal Article
A Dynamic General Equilibrium Analysis of Adaptation to Climate Change in EthiopiaPart of Journal Special Issue Climate Change and Economic Development
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