
In recent years social protection has emerged as a key policy strategy against poverty and vulnerability in many developing countries. It has evolved into a wide number of different forms in terms of focus and targeting population, coverage, scope, and design features, with some programmes providing income transfers alone, while others combining income transfers with the utilization of social services and assets.
However, financing remains a key constraint. Revenue mobilization strategies have been explored in some developing countries to finance social protection. These include reforms on natural resource taxes, royalties, and fees; shifting expenditure from subsidies and tax exemptions to social protection, and redistribution. Efforts to increase the tax capacity by making the tax administration work more efficiently and by broadening the tax base are often essential, although the feasibility of these strategies often depend on political economy considerations.
This UNU-WIDER project seeks to provide researchers, policy-makers and practitioners with tools to improve the methods of analysis of current incidence of tax and social protection systems as well as the potential distributional impacts of tax and benefit reforms. It explores microsimulation analysis, register-based tax research, and political economy models of social protection to contribute to the capacity of developing countries to create effective social protection systems.
The project will produce among other things:
- a new, purposely built database on Social Protection Systems in Developing Countries
- analytical tools based on microsimulation models of social protection and tax system reforms
- political economy models of taxation and social protection.
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TEAM
Focal points: Miguel Niño-Zarazúa, Jukka Pirttilä
Assistant: Kati Hirvonen
Communications: Annett Victorero
Sub-projects
SAPI - Social Assistance, Politics and Institutions database
SOUTHMOD - simulating tax and benefit policies for development
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Journal Article
Promoting education under distortionary taxationA common claim in the policy discourse is that a government wishing to achieve equality of opportunity should use public provision of education for equalisation of opportunities rather than income taxation, which only equalizes incomes. We develop a...
Journal Article
The intergenerational impact of house prices on educationWe investigate heterogeneous and nonlinear intergenerational transmission of education and the impact on this of house prices. Using the China Household Finance Survey, we construct household history of property pur-chases and educational investment...
Technical Note
Exploring the quality of income data in two South African household surveys which underpin SAMODThis note has set out several data processes that have been undertaken using the income data in dataset(s) that underpin SAMOD. Section 1 describes various data-cleaning steps that were undertaken when preparing the LCS 2014/15 as an underpinning...
Technical Note
Top income adjustments and tax reforms in Ecuador: an application of ECUAMODThis technical note has been produced alongside a WIDER working paper assessing the effects on income inequality and income tax simulations of adjusting top incomes of employees in survey data based on administrative tax records in Ecuador. The paper...
Technical Note
Unemployment insurance and income protection in Ecuador: an application of ECUAMODThis note has been produced alongside a WIDER working paper assessing the effect of the Unemployment Insurance benefit on income protection in Ecuador. The aim of this note is to describe the methodology used to assess the effect of the Unemployment...
Working Paper
Exploring the quality of income data in two African household surveys for the purpose of tax-benefit microsimulation modellingThe quality of data on employment income is explored using Tanzanian and Zambian household survey datasets. The extent of missing and implausible income data is assessed and four different methods are applied to impute missing or implausible values...
Working Paper
The case of taxing multinational corporations in UgandaWe study how large domestic firms and multinational corporations compare in their effective tax rates and whether there is evidence of profit shifting out of Uganda. Using administrative data from the Uganda Revenue Authority and regression analysis...
Working Paper
Do tax administrative interventions targeted at small businesses improve tax compliance and revenue collection?This paper conducts an impact evaluation of the effects of two tax administration interventions—a taxpayer register expansion and education programme, and a new electronic filing system for presumptive tax—on the number of small business taxpayers...
Working Paper
The effects of personal income tax reform on employees’ taxable income in UgandaWe evaluate a major personal income tax reform in Uganda that came into effect in 2012–13. The reform increased the tax-free lower threshold, increased tax rates for higher incomes, and introduced an additional highest tax band. Using the universe of...
Journal Article
Are less developed countries more exposed to multinational tax avoidance?This study uses a global dataset with information about 210,000 corporations in 142 countries to investigate whether tax avoidance by multinational firms is more prevalent in less-developed countries. The paper proposes a novel approach to studying...
Report
SOUTHMOD country report Ecuador - ECUAMOD v1.5View the latest ECUAMOD country report here. This report documents ECUAMOD, the SOUTHMOD micrososimulation model developed for Ecuador. The report describes the different tax–benefit policies in place, how the microsimulation model takes advantage of...
Journal Article
Schooling and Labor Market Impacts of Bolivia's Bono Juancito Pinto ProgramPart of Journal Special Issue Welfare and distributive effects of social assistance in the Global South
Journal Article
Educational Assistance and Education Quality in IndonesiaPart of Journal Special Issue Welfare and distributive effects of social assistance in the Global South
Journal Article
The Intergenerational Impact of China's New Rural Pension SchemePart of Journal Special Issue Welfare and distributive effects of social assistance in the Global South
Journal Article
Welfare and Redistributive Effects of Social Assistance in the Global SouthPart of Journal Special Issue Welfare and distributive effects of social assistance in the Global South
Journal Article
Taxation and social protection under governance decentralisationGovernments do not have perfect information regarding constituent priorities and needs. This lack of knowledge opens the door for groups to lobby in order to affect the taxes they pay the government. We examine the political economy of a...
Context
Main subject
Theme: 2014-18, Inclusion